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有色金属(选矿部分):2025,(10):28-34
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不同零阶优化算法时滞对齐对磨矿粒度预测的研究
张鸿阳, 陈雯
(长沙矿冶研究院)
Research on grinding particle size prediction by time-delay alignment of different zeroth order optimization algorithms
Zhang Hongyang, CHEN Wen
(Changsha Reseach Institude of Miniing and Metallurgy)
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投稿时间:2025-01-05    修订日期:2025-02-14
中文摘要: 磨矿粒度作为磨矿过程的重要指标,磨矿粒度的软测量能够实时获取磨矿粒度的估计值,降低成本的同时提高生产效率。实际磨矿过程中因存在大时滞和非线性等问题,软测量准确率大大降低,且预测效率不高。传统时滞辨识算法由于依赖于大量经验知识,存在求解耗时长、结果无序性的问题,难以应对海量时序数据的实时处理。因此,本文利用四种零阶优化算法包括Tpe(Tree-Structured Parzen Estimator)、Cma-Es(Covariance Matrix Adaptation Evolution Strategy)、GA(Genetic Algorithm)、QMC(Quasi-Monte Carlo Sampling)对时滞进行寻优,通过定义步长累加窗口和计时器,对磨矿过程中各个关键变量进行皮尔逊相关度分析,分别得到四种算法的有序时滞寻优结果和寻优耗时。对齐时间数据后,利用梯度提升树Xgboost(eXtreme Gradient Boosting)建模后对磨矿粒度进行预测,四种优化算法的可决系数(R2)均达到了0.80以上,其中Cma-Es算法的R2为0.88,均方根误差RMSE为0.18,与未进行时滞移动的预测数据相比具有高精度、高效率的优势。经真实磨矿过程数据实验验证,零阶优化算法预处理数据不但大大缩短了传统时滞寻优的时间,且有效解决了时滞序列无序性的问题,具有一定的现实意义。
Abstract:As a crucial indicator of the grinding process, the soft measurement of grinding fineness enables real-time estimation, reducing costs while improving production efficiency. However, in practical production, the accuracy and efficiency of soft measurement are significantly reduced due to the time-delay disturbances present in various stages of the grinding process. Therefore, handling these time delays is particularly important. Traditional time-delay identification algorithms rely heavily on accumulated expert knowledge and face challenges such as long computation times and the disorderliness of time-delay data, making it difficult to apply and adjust in real-time when dealing with the massive time-series data generated in grinding processes.This paper employs four zeroth order optimization algorithms—Tree-Structured Parzen Estimator (Tpe), Covariance Matrix Adaptation Evolution Strategy (Cma-Es), Genetic Algorithm (GA), and Quasi-Monte Carlo Sampling (QMC)—to optimize time delays. Pearson correlation analysis is performed on key variables in the grinding process to obtain an ordered time-delay optimization result, after which the time-series data from different sensors are aligned. Subsequently, an eXtreme Gradient Boosting (XGBoost) model is used to predict grinding fineness. The results show that all four optimization algorithms achieve coefficients of determination (R2) above 0.8, demonstrating higher accuracy and efficiency compared to predictions without time-delay alignment. Experimental validation with real grinding process data confirms that zeroth order optimization algorithms significantly reduce the time required for traditional time-delay optimization while effectively resolving the disorderliness of time-delay sequences, making them highly practical and meaningful.
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引用文本:
张鸿阳,陈雯.不同零阶优化算法时滞对齐对磨矿粒度预测的研究[J].有色金属(选矿部分),2025(10):28-34.
Zhang Hongyang,CHEN Wen.Research on grinding particle size prediction by time-delay alignment of different zeroth order optimization algorithms[J].Nonferrous Metals(Mineral Processing Section),2025(10):28-34.

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